Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Forex Trading - How to Start Making A Profit In Forex

So, you're a beginner in forex and need a simple way to beginning turning a profit. Or perhaps you're an experienced trader who has just had trouble turning a profit? There is a simple set of steps you can take.

1) Use a proven system. This may sound very obvious, but you need to use a proven system, or nothing else matters. How do you get a proven system?

You can find systems in forums. You can find them for sale. In general, you want to stay away from the highly commercial looking websites. They are often put together by people who don't even trade. The system must be proven.

2) Avoid systems that trade "fast" timeframes. These are problematic. It is a known factor that the market becomes more random on the shorter time frames (anything less than 1 hour bars/candles). Your daily bars the most stable. The trends are much clearer there (so are the trend reversals).

Honestly, why not make it easy on yourself? There is the lure of fast, easy, compounding money on the really fast charts. That is an illusion. Ignore the phantom and go after what is real. Stick with the slow time frames.

Does it seem like I'm harping on this point too much? It's really that important. Ignore it and your own financial peril.

3) Trade small. Find a broker that offers micro lots. Most won't advertise it, you'll have to write to them and ask. Micro lots are sized at $1000 instead of the $10,000 mini lot size.

Do you want to learn more about how I trade? I have just completed my brand new guide, "Forex Trading - What Finally Worked For Me".

If anyone has ever told you it’s easy to make money in Forex they are misleading you. Successful traders have discipline, the ability to manage their money and understand the psychology of the market. Trading is not done by guessing which way the market will move, but by using either fundamental analysis or technical analysis.

To make any kind of money in this world, you need a definite plan to follow in order to get from point A to B. The same holds true when trading in Forex. Many traders are able to follow a set of rules. How often you break this set of rules will have an effect on how much money you can actually make in the Forex market. The real challenge presents itself when a trader follows their rules and the rules fail to make any money at all. Sticking to your trading rules at all costs even while losing money will eventually yield a profitable trading system.

Sticking to a set of rules is not enough to become a profitable trader. Managing your money is extremely important. Many beginning traders over-leverage themselves and eventually lose their entire account. A good money management system to follow is always look to win twice as much as you lose on each trade. This way you only have to be right 50% of the time and you can still profit. Good money management will beat out a great trading system any day.

The most challenging aspect to over come in the Forex market is going to be your psychology. Being a trader, you need to learn to accept losses. Losses are going to happen in this market and it’s impossible to avoid them. The key is to keep your losses minimal and let your profits run. Every trader will face a psychological battle with themselves whether they are in profit or losing money. It’s important to refer back to a set of rules and discipline yourself to follow these rules when you begin to question yourself on a trade. Too many times traders have lost money and begin revenge trading to make their money back. Again, too many times traders have stopped themselves out of a profitable trade too early because the market goes against them initially, only to reverse in their favor.

In order to make money in Forex, a trader needs to educate themselves and learn all there is to know about the market. In the end, the successful trader ends up using a very simple system to profit. There are many online courses that will help anyone learn how trade Forex. Even successful traders are continuously learning and educating themselves on foreign exchange market.

Forex Trading Tips - How to Go From Humble Beginner to Major Winner

If you're just starting out in forex and need some guidance and forex trading tips then you're in the right place. In this article, I'll give you some great but simple advice that could transform your trading.

Discipline

For each trade that you make, make sure you also specify a stop loss level. Trading without a stop loss is like playing football without a jockstrap! Simply, do not do it!

Ideally, you should also have a profit target (when to exit the trade) that you know before you place the trade. You can always revise this later.

Logic Over Emotions

The reason that you should have these is because it will force you into the habit of having a solid logical reason for each trade that you make.

The simply fact is that if you don't even know where you should place a stop loss, let alone your profit target then you are trading on "gut" or "instinct" and not logic.

If you keep trading this way, you might get a lucky streak but you will soon regret it when you lose it all and possibly more. I have seen this happen to way too many traders.

Know Your Markets

If you're using logic then you need to understand your markets. You really don't need much knowledge at all to trade profitably.

Just pick a few markets and observe them. It's easiest to start with the majors like EURUSD, GBPUSD and USDJPY. Check the forex news websites and monitor these markets closely. There are even many great market commentaries on Youtube.

You'll start to notice some trends in the way that the market reacts to news. You'll start to get a feel for the direction of the market.

And if in doubt, then you always have another option...

Outsource Your Research

If you don't want to spend time learning and understanding the markets then simply pay a small fee to outsource it.

What I mean by this is to buy some good quality forex signals or a good autotrading "robot" (a predictive model). The cost of these is far less than the money you will make, so much so that you will consider it negligible.

These secret forex trading tips and strategies to reduce your loss and stress as there's no one denying that trading forex for a living can be extremely stressful. It can really get your heart racing at times, particularly if it's your own money, but nevertheless there are ways in which you can reduce your stress levels, as I'm about to discuss.

The first strategy would be to sit and watch a currency pair until it enters a quiet trading period where it trades within a very narrow range and then again place orders to buy just above the high point, and sell just below the low point to catch any moves.
If you can use a solid and reliable breakout strategy then this is relatively stress-free because all you do is identify a trading range and place orders just outside of this range with appropriate stops and limits in place if required.

The second strategy is to stop scalping and placing very short-term trades which require quick decisions, and can result in quick profits or equally quick losses, but adopt a more long-term approach instead.

Not only is this less stressful but it is also widely accepted that this is often a more profitable way of trading. Indeed I chatted to an employee from one of the spread betting firms a while ago and he told me that most of their most profitable traders were all medium and long-term traders.

The final strategy in forex trading tips and secrets I want to discuss briefly is a more expensive method and sadly out of reach of most people. It involves building and programming an automated expert advisor to trade for you. Obviously this is extremely complex as it involves mathematical equations and algorithms but I thought it was worth mentioning anyway and I recommend this method specially the "Forex Funnel" automated system as it can produce consistent profits without stressing you out all the time.

If you have been combing the internet to find out how to learn to trade forex successfully, you know there are a ton of options you can go with. Everywhere you turn there is always something about a magical indicator that will do all the work for you. Just plug it in and you instantly have buy and sell signals. The latest craze are the forex expert advisors and the forex automated systems that do all the trading for you while you are asleep or shopping. I've yet to understand how any of these things teach anybody how to learn to trade forex successfully.

If there is one thing that the forex market is, its dynamic. Its even more dynamic than stocks, options, derivative futures, etc... To have a robot do all the work for you, usually won't lead to good end results, no matter what the sales page might say. A robot has no idea when economic breaking news just hit the press. A robot has no idea that the Fed is about to raise interest rates a quarter of a point. The worse thing of all is that these kind of automated systems are usually based on basic lagging indicators such as stochastics. These are the same kind of indicators that most people use to learn how to trade forex. I'm sure there is some kind of correlation with that and the fact that 95% forex traders fail to make money.

If people really want to learn to trade forex successfully, then they should stop doing the same things that 95% of the trading public does. So many traders want shortcuts to profit that they try all of these kind of methods. The irony is. if they stopped looking for the holy grail and took the time to really understand what drives market prices they would have saved so much time and they would already be enjoying their trading success. You want a step in the right direction? It's simple, just get rid off all of your indicators that you're using and see what the market has been trying to show you all along.

Forex Trading Tips

Why do hundreds of thousands online traders and investors trade the forex market every day, and how do they make money doing it?

This two-part report clearly and simply details essential tips on how to avoid typical pitfalls and start making more money in your forex trading.

  1. Trade pairs, not currencies - Like any relationship, you have to know both sides. Success or failure in forex trading depends upon being right about both currencies and how they impact one another, not just one.
  2. Knowledge is Power - When starting out trading forex online, it is essential that you understand the basics of this market if you want to make the most of your investments.
    The main forex influencer is global news and events. For example, say an ECB statement is released on European interest rates which typically will cause a flurry of activity. Most newcomers react violently to news like this and close their positions and subsequently miss out on some of the best trading opportunities by waiting until the market calms down. The potential in the forex market is in the volatility, not in its tranquility.
  3. Unambitious trading - Many new traders will place very tight orders in order to take very small profits. This is not a sustainable approach because although you may be profitable in the short run (if you are lucky), you risk losing in the longer term as you have to recover the difference between the bid and the ask price before you can make any profit and this is much more difficult when you make small trades than when you make larger ones.
  4. Over-cautious trading - Like the trader who tries to take small incremental profits all the time, the trader who places tight stop losses with a retail forex broker is doomed. As we stated above, you have to give your position a fair chance to demonstrate its ability to produce. If you don't place reasonable stop losses that allow your trade to do so, you will always end up undercutting yourself and losing a small piece of your deposit with every trade.
  5. Independence - If you are new to forex, you will either decide to trade your own money or to have a broker trade it for you. So far, so good. But your risk of losing increases exponentially if you either of these two things:
    Interfere with what your broker is doing on your behalf (as his strategy might require a long gestation period);
    Seek advice from too many sources - multiple input will only result in multiple losses. Take a position, ride with it and then analyse the outcome - by yourself, for yourself.
  6. Tiny margins - Margin trading is one of the biggest advantages in trading forex as it allows you to trade amounts far larger than the total of your deposits. However, it can also be dangerous to novice traders as it can appeal to the greed factor that destroys many forex traders. The best guideline is to increase your leverage in line with your experience and success.
  7. No strategy - The aim of making money is not a trading strategy. A strategy is your map for how you plan to make money. Your strategy details the approach you are going to take, which currencies you are going to trade and how you will manage your risk. Without a strategy, you may become one of the 90% of new traders that lose their money.
  8. Trading Off-Peak Hours - Professional FX traders, option traders, and hedge funds posses a huge advantage over small retail traders during off-peak hours (between 2200 CET and 1000 CET) as they can hedge their positions and move them around when there is far small trade volume is going through (meaning their risk is smaller). The best advice for trading during off peak hours is simple - don't.
  9. The only way is up/down - When the market is on its way up, the market is on its way up. When the market is going down, the market is going down. That's it. There are many systems which analyse past trends, but none that can accurately predict the future. But if you acknowledge to yourself that all that is happening at any time is that the market is simply moving, you'll be amazed at how hard it is to blame anyone else.
  10. Trade on the news - Most of the really big market moves occur around news time. Trading volume is high and the moves are significant; this means there is no better time to trade than when news is released. This is when the big players adjust their positions and prices change resulting in a serious currency flow.
  11. Exiting Trades - If you place a trade and it's not working out for you, get out. Don't compound your mistake by staying in and hoping for a reversal. If you're in a winning trade, don't talk yourself out of the position because you're bored or want to relieve stress; stress is a natural part of trading; get used to it.
  12. Don't trade too short-term - If you are aiming to make less than 20 points profit, don't undertake the trade. The spread you are trading on will make the odds against you far too high.
  13. Don't be smart - The most successful traders I know keep their trading simple. They don't analyse all day or research historical trends and track web logs and their results are excellent.
  14. Tops and Bottoms - There are no real "bargains" in trading foreign exchange. Trade in the direction the price is going in and you're results will be almost guaranteed to improve.
  15. Ignoring the technicals- Understanding whether the market is over-extended long or short is a key indicator of price action. Spikes occur in the market when it is moving all one way.
  16. Emotional Trading - Without that all-important strategy, you're trades essentially are thoughts only and thoughts are emotions and a very poor foundation for trading. When most of us are upset and emotional, we don't tend to make the wisest decisions. Don't let your emotions sway you.
  17. Confidence - Confidence comes from successful trading. If you lose money early in your trading career it's very difficult to regain it; the trick is not to go off half-cocked; learn the business before you trade. Remember, knowledge is power.

The second and final part of this report clearly and simply details more essential tips on how to avoid the pitfalls and start making more money in your forex trading.

  1. Take it like a man - If you decide to ride a loss, you are simply displaying stupidity and cowardice. It takes guts to accept your loss and wait for tomorrow to try again. Sticking to a bad position ruins lots of traders - permanently. Try to remember that the market often behaves illogically, so don't get commit to any one trade; it's just a trade. One good trade will not make you a trading success; it's ongoing regular performance over months and years that makes a good trader.
  2. Focus - Fantasising about possible profits and then "spending" them before you have realised them is no good. Focus on your current position(s) and place reasonable stop losses at the time you do the trade. Then sit back and enjoy the ride - you have no real control from now on, the market will do what it wants to do.
  3. Don't trust demos - Demo trading often causes new traders to learn bad habits. These bad habits, which can be very dangerous in the long run, come about because you are playing with virtual money. Once you know how your broker's system works, start trading small amounts and only take the risk you can afford to win or lose.
  4. Stick to the strategy - When you make money on a well thought-out strategic trade, don't go and lose half of it next time on a fancy; stick to your strategy and invest profits on the next trade that matches your long-term goals.
  5. Trade today - Most successful day traders are highly focused on what's happening in the short-term, not what may happen over the next month. If you're trading with 40 to 60-point stops focus on what's happening today as the market will probably move too quickly to consider the long-term future. However, the long-term trends are not unimportant; they will not always help you though if you're trading intraday.
  6. The clues are in the details - The bottom line on your account balance doesn't tell the whole story. Consider individual trade details; analyse your losses and the telling losing streaks. Generally, traders that make money without suffering significant daily losses have the best chance of sustaining positive performance in the long term.
  7. Simulated Results - Be very careful and wary about infamous "black box" systems. These so-called trading signal systems do not often explain exactly how the trade signals they generate are produced. Typically, these systems only show their track record of extraordinary results - historical results. Successfully predicting future trade scenarios is altogether more complex. The high-speed algorithmic capabilities of these systems provide significant retrospective trading systems, not ones which will help you trade effectively in the future.
  8. Get to know one cross at a time - Each currency pair is unique, and has a unique way of moving in the marketplace. The forces which cause the pair to move up and down are individual to each cross, so study them and learn from your experience and apply your learning to one cross at a time.
  9. Risk Reward - If you put a 20 point stop and a 50 point profit your chances of winning are probably about 1-3 against you. In fact, given the spread you're trading on, it's more likely to be 1-4. Play the odds the market gives you.
  10. Trading for Wrong Reasons - Don't trade if you are bored, unsure or reacting on a whim. The reason that you are bored in the first place is probably because there is no trade to make in the first place. If you are unsure, it's probably because you can't see the trade to make, so don't make one.
  11. Zen Trading- Even when you have taken a position in the markets, you should try and think as you would if you hadn't taken one. This level of detachment is essential if you want to retain your clarity of mind and avoid succumbing to emotional impulses and therefore increasing the likelihood of incurring losses. To achieve this, you need to cultivate a calm and relaxed outlook. Trade in brief periods of no more than a few hours at a time and accept that once the trade has been made, it's out of your hands.
  12. Determination - Once you have decided to place a trade, stick to it and let it run its course. This means that if your stop loss is close to being triggered, let it trigger. If you move your stop midway through a trade's life, you are more than likely to suffer worse moves against you. Your determination must be show itself when you acknowledge that you got it wrong, so get out.
  13. Short-term Moving Average Crossovers - This is one of the most dangerous trade scenarios for non professional traders. When the short-term moving average crosses the longer-term moving average it only means that the average price in the short run is equal to the average price in the longer run. This is neither a bullish nor bearish indication, so don't fall into the trap of believing it is one.
  14. Stochastic - Another dangerous scenario. When it first signals an exhausted condition that's when the big spike in the "exhausted" currency cross tends to occur. My advice is to buy on the first sign of an overbought cross and then sell on the first sign of an oversold one. This approach means that you'll be with the trend and have successfully identified a positive move that still has some way to go. So if percentage K and percentage D are both crossing 80, then buy! (This is the same on sell side, where you sell at 20).
  15. One cross is all that counts - EURUSD seems to be trading higher, so you buy GBPUSD because it appears not to have moved yet. This is dangerous. Focus on one cross at a time - if EURUSD looks good to you, then just buy EURUSD.
  16. Wrong Broker - A lot of FOREX brokers are in business only to make money from yours. Read forums, blogs and chats around the net to get an unbiased opinion before you choose your broker.
  17. Too bullish - Trading statistics show that 90% of most traders will fail at some point. Being too bullish about your trading aptitude can be fatal to your long-term success. You can always learn more about trading the markets, even if you are currently successful in your trades. Stay modest, and keep your eyes open for new ideas and bad habits you might be falling in to.
  18. Interpret forex news yourself - Learn to read the source documents of forex news and events - don't rely on the interpretations of news media or others.